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Kann man von diesen Erkenntnissen auf die Zukunft schliessen ?

1.     “Bubbles generally are perceptible only after the fact.  To spot a bubble in advance requires a judgment that hundreds of thousands of informed investors have it all wrong.  While bubbles that burst are scarcely benign, the consequences need not be catastrophic for the economy” -  Alan Greenspan June 17, 1999

2.     “It was far from obvious that bubbles, even if identified early, could be preempted short of the central bank inducing a substantial contraction in economic activity – the very outcome we would be seeking to avoid. Prolonged periods of expansion promote a greater rational willingness to take risks, a pattern very difficult to avert by a modest tightening of monetary policy…we recognized that, despite our suspicions, it was very difficult to definitively identify a bubble until after the fact…the idea that a collapse of a bubble can be softened by pricking it in advance is almost surely an illusion”  — Alan Greenspan August 30, 2002

3.     “There is no housing bubble to go bust”… “Home-price increases largely reflect strong economic fundamentals.”– Ben Bernanke, October 27, 2005

4. “the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the sub-prime markets seems likely to be contained,”
Ben Bernanke, 28 March 2007

5. “And we will never return to the old boom and bust”
Gordon Brown, 21 March 2007

6. Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said commercial real estate woes won’t set off a new banking crisis, in remarks to the Economic Club of Chicago.
“I don’t think so,” Geithner said, when asked whether commercial real estate could set off another banking meltdown. “That’s a problem the economy can manage through even though it’s going to be still exceptionally difficult.”

1 Kommentar

1 Onassis - 22.03.2010 um 0:55

Sehr interessant, so eine zeitliche Zusammenfassung in einer Minute durchlesen zu können!

Ist zwar auf Englisch und da dauert es bei mir immer ein bißchen länger, aber am Ende ist es doch klar ;-)

Danke!

Onassis

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